Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Privett Park, Gosport, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Gosport Borough the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Gosport Borough (1,732) and Malvern Town (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gosport Borough have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gosport Borough sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab model makes Gosport Borough the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town played?
- Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Privett Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Havant & WvillevsGloucester City
- Aug 29, 2026Taunton TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Aug 29, 2026Bracknell TownvsSholing
- Aug 29, 2026Chertsey TownvsFrome Town
- Aug 29, 2026Evesham UnitedvsPlymouth Parkway
- Aug 29, 2026Hanwell TownvsChichester City
- Aug 29, 2026Poole TownvsYate Town
- Aug 29, 2026Wimborne TownvsHanworth Villa