Match

Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Privett Park, Gosport, Hampshire

Gosport BoroughMalvern Town

The Footlab model makes Gosport Borough the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Gosport Borough (1,732) and Malvern Town (1,794).

Gosport Borough win39 %
Draw25 %
Malvern Town win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gosport Borough have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gosport Borough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Frome Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Uxbridge(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 12, 2026Hanworth Villa(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Yate Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Plymouth Parkway(home)3-6Non League Premier - Southern South
Malvern Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wimborne Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bracknell Town(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Taunton Town(away)2-5Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Hanwell Town(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gosport Borough1.41.738/159/15
Malvern Town1.91.848/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gosport Borough sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Gosport Borough4112344
22Malvern Town40224102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town?
The Footlab model makes Gosport Borough the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Malvern Town.
Where and when is Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town played?
Gosport Borough vs Malvern Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Privett Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gosport Borough and Malvern Town

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