Havant & Wville vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Westleigh Park, Havant, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Havant & Wville. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havant & Wville vs Gloucester City?
Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havant & Wville have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Havant & Wville win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Gloucester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Havant & Wville 3-0 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Gloucester City 3-2 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Gloucester City 1-0 Havant & Wville | FA Trophy |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Havant & Wville 4-0 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Gloucester City 2-1 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Havant & Wville 2-3 Gloucester City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Havant & Wville vs Gloucester City on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havant & Wville score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havant & Wville | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havant & Wville sit 21st in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havant & Wville vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Havant & Wville.
- Where and when is Havant & Wville vs Gloucester City played?
- Havant & Wville vs Gloucester City is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Westleigh Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Taunton TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Aug 29, 2026Bracknell TownvsSholing
- Aug 29, 2026Chertsey TownvsFrome Town
- Aug 29, 2026Evesham UnitedvsPlymouth Parkway
- Aug 29, 2026Hanwell TownvsChichester City
- Aug 29, 2026Gosport BoroughvsMalvern Town
- Aug 29, 2026Poole TownvsYate Town
- Aug 29, 2026Wimborne TownvsHanworth Villa