Match

Poole Town vs Gosport Borough: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset

Poole TownGosport Borough

The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Poole Town vs Gosport Borough?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,823) and Gosport Borough (1,732).

Poole Town win54 %
Draw23 %
Gosport Borough win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gosport Borough have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Gosport Borough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Frome Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Uxbridge(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 12, 2026Hanworth Villa(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Yate Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Plymouth Parkway(home)3-6Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Poole Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gosport Borough win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Gosport Borough 1-0 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 1, 2025Poole Town 0-1 Gosport BoroughNon League Premier - Southern South
Sep 13, 2025Gosport Borough 0-3 Poole TownFA Cup
Feb 8, 2025Gosport Borough 1-0 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 2, 2024Poole Town 1-3 Gosport BoroughNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 5, 2024Poole Town 1-1 Gosport BoroughFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Gosport Borough vs Poole Town on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15
Gosport Borough1.41.738/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gosport Borough sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Poole Town4202566
16Gosport Borough4112344

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Gosport Borough?
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Gosport Borough.
Where and when is Poole Town vs Gosport Borough played?
Poole Town vs Gosport Borough is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Poole Town and Gosport Borough

Ready to know everything about football?