Poole Town vs Gosport Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Gosport Borough?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,823) and Gosport Borough (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gosport Borough have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Poole Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gosport Borough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gosport Borough 1-0 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Poole Town 0-1 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Gosport Borough 0-3 Poole Town | FA Cup |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Gosport Borough 1-0 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Poole Town 1-3 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Poole Town 1-1 Gosport Borough | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Gosport Borough vs Poole Town on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gosport Borough sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Gosport Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Gosport Borough.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Gosport Borough played?
- Poole Town vs Gosport Borough is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Taunton TownvsGloucester City
- Jan 23, 2027Frome TownvsChippenham Town
- Jan 23, 2027UxbridgevsBerkhamsted
- Jan 23, 2027Basingstoke TownvsHavant & Wville
- Jan 23, 2027Chertsey TownvsHanwell Town
- Jan 23, 2027Chichester CityvsSholing
- Jan 23, 2027Wimborne TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Jan 23, 2027Yate TownvsMalvern Town