Chesham United vs Billericay Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 8Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
Billericay Town starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Billericay Town have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 4-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| May 4, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Chesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Billericay Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | Billericay Town 0-2 Chesham United | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Billericay Town vs Chesham United on Oct 31, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Billericay Town score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Billericay Town | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Billericay Town sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Billericay Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
- The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Billericay Town played?
- Chesham United vs Billericay Town is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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