Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 8Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Chigwell Construction Stadium, Dagenham, Essex
The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Dover. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover?
Dagenham & Redbridge starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,845 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dagenham & Redbridge have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dover win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge 2-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Dover 2-2 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League - South |
| Jan 2, 2022 | Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 Dover | National League |
| Dec 26, 2021 | Dover 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League |
| Dec 26, 2020 | Dover 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League |
| Aug 6, 2019 | Dover 1-2 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League |
Last archived meeting: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover on Jan 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagenham & Redbridge | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dover | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st in National League - South (12 points from 4 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Dover | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover?
- The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover played?
- Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dover is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Chigwell Construction Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 8, 2026MaidenheadvsTorquay
- Sep 8, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Sep 8, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsFarnborough
- Sep 8, 2026Weston-super-MarevsAFC Totton
- Sep 8, 2026Chesham UnitedvsBillericay Town
- Sep 8, 2026Folkestone InvictavsHorsham
- Sep 8, 2026SalisburyvsSlough Town
- Sep 8, 2026Dorking WanderersvsChelmsford City