Match

Folkestone Invicta vs Horsham: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 8Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone, Kent

Folkestone InvictaHorsham

The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Folkestone Invicta vs Horsham?

Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,816).

Folkestone Invicta win59 %
Draw22 %
Horsham win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folkestone Invicta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Folkestone Invicta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)5-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Welling United(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Sutton Utd(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Folkestone Invicta win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Horsham win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2025Horsham 2-3 Folkestone InvictaFA Cup
Jan 25, 2025Folkestone Invicta 3-0 HorshamNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 26, 2024Horsham 0-1 Folkestone InvictaNon League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 6, 2024Folkestone Invicta 3-1 HorshamNon League Premier - Isthmian
Dec 16, 2023Horsham 2-1 Folkestone InvictaNon League Premier - Isthmian
Feb 11, 2023Horsham 1-3 Folkestone InvictaNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Folkestone Invicta on Sep 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Folkestone Invicta2.11.5311/158/15
Horsham1.21.255/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Folkestone Invicta sit 12th in National League - South (5 points from 3 matches) and Horsham sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
12Folkestone Invicta3120735

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Folkestone Invicta vs Horsham?
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Horsham.
Where and when is Folkestone Invicta vs Horsham played?
Folkestone Invicta vs Horsham is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Alcaline Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Folkestone Invicta and Horsham

Ready to know everything about football?