Match

Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 8Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent

Ebbsfleet UnitedHemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,817) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839).

Ebbsfleet United win45 %
Draw27 %
Hemel Hempstead Town win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South
Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ebbsfleet United win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 3, 2026Ebbsfleet United 2-2 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Sep 2, 2025Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Mar 4, 2023Ebbsfleet United 0-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Oct 29, 2022Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Jan 8, 2022Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Aug 28, 2021Ebbsfleet United 3-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Feb 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ebbsfleet United and Hemel Hempstead Town

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