Match

Chesham United vs Farnham Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham UnitedFarnham Town

The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Farnham Town?

Farnham Town starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,904 vs 1,792).

Chesham United win35 %
Draw26 %
Farnham Town win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Farnham Town have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Farnborough(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Braintree(away)2-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)0-3National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Farnham Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Billericay Town(home)2-4National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Slough Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 14, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)1-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026AFC Totton(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Eastleigh(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Chesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Farnham Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2023Farnham Town 1-2 Chesham UnitedFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Farnham Town vs Chesham United on Sep 16, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chesham United1.81.839/1511/15
Farnham Town1.61.149/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Farnham Town sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
18Chesham United4103473
19Farnham Town4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Farnham Town?
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Farnham Town played?
Chesham United vs Farnham Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chesham United and Farnham Town

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