Match

Maidenhead vs Horsham: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

MaidenheadHorsham

The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Horsham?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,811) and Horsham (1,816).

Maidenhead win50 %
Draw28 %
Horsham win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Farnborough(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Truro City(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Brackley Town(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Maidenhead win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Horsham win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Horsham 1-2 MaidenheadNational League - South
Aug 25, 2025Maidenhead 2-1 HorshamNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Maidenhead on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidenhead0.91.247/154/15
Horsham1.21.255/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Horsham sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
14Maidenhead4121235

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Horsham?
The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Horsham.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Horsham played?
Maidenhead vs Horsham is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Maidenhead and Horsham

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