Maidenhead vs Horsham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maidenhead wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Horsham?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,889) and Horsham (1,885).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maidenhead vs Horsham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maidenhead
4-3-3- AA. Pendlebury
- 27C. Hall
- 19D. Nkrumah
- 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
- 21J. Coley
- 36J. Johnson
- 22M. Welch-Hayes
- 19Owen Cochrane
- 28J. McMenemy
- AAlfie Calver
- 1J. van Stappershoef
Horsham
Not enough data to predict the Horsham lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Horsham have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dover(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-4 | National League - South |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Maidenhead wins, 0 draws, 0 Horsham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Horsham 1-2 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Maidenhead 2-1 Horsham | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Maidenhead score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidenhead | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Horsham | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidenhead sit 11th in National League - South (13 points from 10 matches) and Horsham sit 17th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| 17 | Horsham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Maidenhead vs Horsham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Horsham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Maidenhead vs Horsham played?
- Maidenhead vs Horsham is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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