Dover vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelmsford City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Chelmsford City?
On Elo ratings, Dover has 1,878 points and Chelmsford City 1,957.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Chelmsford City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Chelmsford City
Not enough data to predict the Chelmsford City lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 3-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dover wins, 3 draws, 1 Chelmsford City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chelmsford City 1-2 Dover | National League - South |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Dover 0-1 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Dover 1-0 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Chelmsford City 3-3 Dover | National League - South |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Dover 0-0 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Nov 7, 2022 | Chelmsford City 0-0 Dover | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Dover on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Chelmsford City | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 9th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 15th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 14 |
A question about Dover vs Chelmsford City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Chelmsford City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dover vs Chelmsford City played?
- Dover vs Chelmsford City is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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