Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United?
Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cray Valley PM(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Maidstone Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ebbsfleet United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Maidstone Utd 3-0 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 3-0 Ebbsfleet United | FA Cup |
| Jan 25, 2022 | Maidstone Utd 4-0 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Ebbsfleet United 2-3 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Ebbsfleet United 0-0 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United on Jan 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Ebbsfleet United.
- Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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