Match

Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent

Maidstone UtdEbbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,812).

Maidstone Utd win59 %
Draw22 %
Ebbsfleet United win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidstone Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnborough(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Chatham Town(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Maidstone Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 27, 2026Maidstone Utd 3-0 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Nov 4, 2025Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Oct 12, 2024Maidstone Utd 3-0 Ebbsfleet UnitedFA Cup
Jan 25, 2022Maidstone Utd 4-0 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Nov 23, 2021Ebbsfleet United 2-3 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Nov 17, 2020Ebbsfleet United 0-0 Maidstone UtdNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United on Jan 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidstone Utd2.41.269/1511/15
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maidstone Utd4211857

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Maidstone Utd and Ebbsfleet United

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