Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Church Road, Whyteleafe, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Whyteleafe the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Whyteleafe (1,686) and Whitehawk (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whyteleafe have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Whitehawk have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lewes(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Southall(away) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Potters Bar Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Whyteleafe win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Whitehawk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2020 | Whitehawk 1-0 Whyteleafe | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Whyteleafe 4-2 Whitehawk | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
Last archived meeting: Whitehawk vs Whyteleafe on Jan 28, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Whyteleafe score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whyteleafe | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Whitehawk | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whyteleafe sit 20th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Whitehawk sit 19th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Whitehawk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 20 | Whyteleafe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk?
- The Footlab model makes Whyteleafe the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Whitehawk.
- Where and when is Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk played?
- Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk is played on October 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Church Road, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 5, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsEastbourne Borough
- Oct 6, 2026DartfordvsRamsgate
- Oct 6, 2026St Albans CityvsBrentwood Town
- Oct 6, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsWelling United
- Oct 6, 2026Three BridgesvsLewes
- Oct 6, 2026CheshuntvsAveley
- Oct 6, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsBurgess Hill Town
- Oct 6, 2026Dulwich HamletvsCray Wanderers