Match

Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Church Road, Whyteleafe, Surrey

WhyteleafeWhitehawk

The Footlab model makes Whyteleafe the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Whyteleafe (1,686) and Whitehawk (1,657).

Whyteleafe win44 %
Draw24 %
Whitehawk win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whyteleafe have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Whitehawk have 0, 5 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Whyteleafe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lewes(away)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Sep 7, 2025Southall(away)0-0FA Trophy
Whitehawk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chatham Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Aveley(away)2-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Lewes(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Welling United(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Potters Bar Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Whyteleafe win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Whitehawk win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2020Whitehawk 1-0 WhyteleafeNon League Div One - Isthmian South East
Jan 18, 2020Whyteleafe 4-2 WhitehawkNon League Div One - Isthmian South East

Last archived meeting: Whitehawk vs Whyteleafe on Jan 28, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Whyteleafe score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Whyteleafe1.52.039/1511/15
Whitehawk0.92.228/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Whyteleafe sit 20th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Whitehawk sit 19th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Whitehawk4013281
20Whyteleafe40133101

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk?
The Footlab model makes Whyteleafe the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Whitehawk.
Where and when is Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk played?
Whyteleafe vs Whitehawk is played on October 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Church Road, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Whyteleafe and Whitehawk

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