Dartford vs Ramsgate: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Princes Park, Dartford, Kent
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Ramsgate. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dartford vs Ramsgate?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Dartford (1,873) and Ramsgate (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dartford have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Ramsgate have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | St Albans City(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Canvey Island(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dartford win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ramsgate win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Dartford 1-0 Ramsgate | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Ramsgate 4-4 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
How many goals should we expect?
Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ramsgate score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Ramsgate | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dartford sit 5th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Ramsgate sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Ramsgate | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dartford vs Ramsgate?
- The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Ramsgate.
- Where and when is Dartford vs Ramsgate played?
- Dartford vs Ramsgate is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Princes Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 5, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsEastbourne Borough
- Oct 6, 2026St Albans CityvsBrentwood Town
- Oct 6, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsWelling United
- Oct 6, 2026Three BridgesvsLewes
- Oct 6, 2026CheshuntvsAveley
- Oct 6, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsBurgess Hill Town
- Oct 6, 2026Dulwich HamletvsCray Wanderers
- Oct 6, 2026Chatham TownvsLeatherhead