Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Maurice Rebak Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Wingate & Finchley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Wingate & Finchley (1,757) and Burgess Hill Town (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wingate & Finchley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Wingate & Finchley win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Burgess Hill Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley 1-2 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 3-2 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wingate & Finchley | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wingate & Finchley sit 16th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
- The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Wingate & Finchley.
- Where and when is Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town played?
- Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Maurice Rebak Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.