Newport County vs Crewe: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Crewe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newport County wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newport County vs Crewe?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Newport County (1,809) and Crewe (1,862).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newport County vs Crewe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 9S. Gwengwe
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 20Y. Bamba
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Crewe
4-2-3-1- 9J. March
- 10J. White
- 11J. Tabiner
- 14J. Gibson
- 19O. Lunt
- 17M. Holíček
- 6L. Offord
- 4Kyle Ure
- 2L. Billington
- 12J. Stephenson
- 1T. Booth
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Crewe have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Newport County wins, 2 draws, 1 Crewe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Newport County 2-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Crewe 2-2 Newport County | League Two |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Crewe 0-3 Newport County | League Two |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Newport County 2-1 Crewe | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Newport County 1-1 Crewe | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Crewe 4-2 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Crewe on Dec 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Crewe | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 11th in League Two (14 points from 11 matches) and Crewe sit 3rd (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crewe | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 11 | Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Newport County vs Crewe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newport County vs Crewe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Crewe.
- Where and when is Newport County vs Crewe played?
- Newport County vs Crewe is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rodney Parade, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.