Northampton vs Salford City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northampton vs Salford City?
Salford City starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Salford City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 0-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Northampton win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Salford City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | Salford City 2-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Northampton 0-1 Salford City | League Two |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Northampton 1-0 Salford City | League Two |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Salford City 2-2 Northampton | League Two |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Salford City 1-2 Northampton | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Northampton 2-0 Salford City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Salford City vs Northampton on Jan 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Northampton score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Salford City score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Salford City | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northampton sit 18th in League Two (1 points from 2 matches) and Salford City sit 22nd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Salford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northampton vs Salford City?
- The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Northampton vs Salford City played?
- Northampton vs Salford City is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sixfields Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.