Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Kasetsart FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Chiangmai United (1,430) and Kasetsart FC (1,399).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Kasetsart FC have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chiangmai United(home) | 3-4 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 4-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chiangmai United win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Kasetsart FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC 3-4 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Chiangmai United 1-1 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Kasetsart FC 2-0 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Chiangmai United 1-1 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Chiangmai United 2-1 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Kasetsart FC 1-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kasetsart FC vs Chiangmai United on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kasetsart FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kasetsart FC | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chiangmai United sit 10th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Kasetsart FC sit 16th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
| 16 | Kasetsart FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 49 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Kasetsart FC.
- Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC played?
- Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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