Match

Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai

Chiangmai UnitedKasetsart FC

The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Kasetsart FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Chiangmai United (1,430) and Kasetsart FC (1,399).

Chiangmai United win52 %
Draw23 %
Kasetsart FC win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Kasetsart FC have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chiangmai United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)4-3Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-0Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Trat FC(home)0-1Thai League 2
Kasetsart FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chiangmai United(home)3-4Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)0-1Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Trat FC(home)4-0Thai League 2
Mar 25, 2026Sisaket United(home)1-1Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Esan Pattaya(away)0-3Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chiangmai United win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Kasetsart FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Kasetsart FC 3-4 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Aug 17, 2025Chiangmai United 1-1 Kasetsart FCThai League 2
Feb 21, 2025Kasetsart FC 2-0 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Oct 25, 2024Chiangmai United 1-1 Kasetsart FCThai League 2
Feb 4, 2024Chiangmai United 2-1 Kasetsart FCThai League 2
Sep 24, 2023Kasetsart FC 1-1 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Kasetsart FC vs Chiangmai United on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kasetsart FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chiangmai United1.82.1210/1511/15
Kasetsart FC1.11.348/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chiangmai United sit 10th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Kasetsart FC sit 16th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Chiangmai United3414119555843
16Kasetsart FC3491114464938

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC?
The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Kasetsart FC.
Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC played?
Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chiangmai United and Kasetsart FC

Ready to know everything about football?