Mahasarakham United vs Uttaradit: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham
The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Uttaradit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Uttaradit?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Uttaradit (1,424).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Uttaradit have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Dec 28, 2025 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Pattaya City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Siwilai(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Uttaradit score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahasarakham United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Uttaradit | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mahasarakham United | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Uttaradit?
- The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Uttaradit.
- Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Uttaradit played?
- Mahasarakham United vs Uttaradit is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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