Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, Loei
The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Muang Loei United (1,466) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muang Loei United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Romklao United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Roi Et(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Nakhon Si City(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muang Loei United | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
- The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Esan Pattaya.
- Where and when is Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya played?
- Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Phrae UnitedvsKanchanaburi
- Oct 10, 2026Nakhon PathomvsMuangthong United
- Oct 10, 2026Police TerovsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Oct 10, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsKasetsart FC
- Oct 11, 2026SatunvsKhon Kaen United
- Oct 11, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsUttaradit
- Oct 11, 2026ChainatvsSongkhla
- Oct 11, 2026ChanthaburivsNong Bua Pitchaya