Chainat vs Muangthong United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat
The Footlab AI model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1. If Muangthong United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chainat vs Muangthong United?
Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,409).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chainat vs Muangthong United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chainat
4-3-3- 20A. Ayeh
- 18K. Boonma
- 11S. Al Jaberi
- 22N. Kaewklang
- 10E. Mbarga
- 7M. Kongjumpa
- 17F. Khadearee
- 5Young-Jae Yoo
- 4T. Kiatlerttham
- 24A. Saengdaeng
- 19K. Chaodon
Muangthong United
4-2-3-1- 45M. Saric
- 14S. Panthong
- 34K. Khamyok
- 6J. Strauß
- 7Willian Popp
- 24A. Ahannach
- 27M. Kempter
- 4S. Tsonkov
- 28Kim Dong-Su
- 19T. Do
- 33K. Pipatnadda
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Muangthong United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(away) | 3-6 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Uttaradit(home) | 3-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Songkhla(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Muang Loei United(away) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chainat wins, 0 draws, 4 Muangthong United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2019 | Muangthong United 3-0 Chainat | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Chainat 3-0 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Chainat 2-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| May 13, 2018 | Muangthong United 2-0 Chainat | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Chainat 1-2 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Muangthong United 2-0 Chainat | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Muangthong United vs Chainat on Jul 31, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Chainat score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Muangthong United score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chainat | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Muangthong United | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chainat sit 8th in Thai League 2 (14 points from 9 matches) and Muangthong United sit 7th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Muangthong United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Chainat | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
A question about Chainat vs Muangthong United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Muangthong United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chainat.
- Where and when is Chainat vs Muangthong United played?
- Chainat vs Muangthong United is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 20, 2026Police TerovsChanthaburi
- Nov 21, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsSatun
- Nov 21, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsNakhon Pathom
- Nov 21, 2026Esan PattayavsKasetsart FC
- Nov 22, 2026SongkhlavsKanchanaburi
- Nov 22, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsKhon Kaen United
- Nov 22, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsUttaradit
- Nov 22, 2026Phrae UnitedvsNong Bua Pitchaya