Match

Chievo vs Milan II: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona

ChievoMilan II

The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Chievo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chievo vs Milan II?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Chievo (1,785) and Milan II (1,765).

Chievo win35 %
Draw25 %
Milan II win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chievo have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Milan II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chievo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026USD Casatese(away)3-2Serie D - Girone B
May 10, 2026Milan II(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Pavia(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Castellanzese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Milan II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chievo(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Vogherese(home)10-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Castellanzese(away)3-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Varesina(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Brusaporto(away)4-0Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Chievo win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Milan II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chievo 2-1 Milan IISerie D - Girone B
Jan 18, 2026Chievo 1-3 Milan IISerie D - Girone B
Sep 21, 2025Milan II 3-2 ChievoSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Chievo vs Milan II on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Milan II score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chievo1.71.549/1510/15
Milan II2.11.148/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chievo sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone B (60 points from 34 matches) and Milan II sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Chievo3418610524360
4Milan II3416810623756

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chievo vs Milan II?
The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Chievo.
Where and when is Chievo vs Milan II played?
Chievo vs Milan II is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chievo and Milan II

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