Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Leon Monza e Brianza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Rossoni, Ciserano
The Footlab model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Leon Monza e Brianza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (1,692) and Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Leon Monza e Brianza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Leon Monza e Brianza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-0 Leon Monza e Brianza | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Leon Monza e Brianza 1-1 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Leon Monza e Brianza 1-1 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-0 Leon Monza e Brianza | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Leon Monza e Brianza on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo sit 10th in Serie D - Girone B (46 points from 34 matches) and Leon Monza e Brianza sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leon Monza e Brianza | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
| 10 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
- The Footlab model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Leon Monza e Brianza.
- Where and when is Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Leon Monza e Brianza played?
- Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Leon Monza e Brianza is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Rossoni, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.