Club Milano vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Vista Vision Stadium, Pero
The Footlab model makes Club Milano the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Milano vs Real Calepina?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Club Milano (1,716) and Real Calepina (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Milano have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Real Calepina have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Asti(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | NovaRomentin(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cairese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Breno(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Club Milano win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Real Calepina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Real Calepina 2-1 Club Milano | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Club Milano 1-1 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Real Calepina vs Club Milano on Mar 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Club Milano score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Milano | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Calepina | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 47 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Milano vs Real Calepina?
- The Footlab model makes Club Milano the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Real Calepina.
- Where and when is Club Milano vs Real Calepina played?
- Club Milano vs Real Calepina is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Vista Vision Stadium, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026ChievovsMilan II
- Oct 18, 2026PiacenzavsCaldiero Terme
- Oct 18, 2026Virtus VeronavsTritium
- Oct 18, 2026BrusaportovsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Oct 18, 2026Villa VallevsPro Palazzolo
- Oct 18, 2026Virtus Ciserano BergamovsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Oct 18, 2026Rovato VertovesevsScanzorosciate
- Oct 18, 2026PavonesevsFiorenzuola