Chippenham Town vs Berkhamsted: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hardenhuish Park, Chippenham, Wiltshire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Chippenham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chippenham Town vs Berkhamsted?
Berkhamsted starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chippenham Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Berkhamsted have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Chippenham Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chippenham Town | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chippenham Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Berkhamsted sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chippenham Town vs Berkhamsted?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Chippenham Town.
- Where and when is Chippenham Town vs Berkhamsted played?
- Chippenham Town vs Berkhamsted is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hardenhuish Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Havant & WvillevsGloucester City
- Aug 29, 2026Taunton TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Aug 29, 2026Bracknell TownvsSholing
- Aug 29, 2026Chertsey TownvsFrome Town
- Aug 29, 2026Evesham UnitedvsPlymouth Parkway
- Aug 29, 2026Hanwell TownvsChichester City
- Aug 29, 2026Gosport BoroughvsMalvern Town
- Aug 29, 2026Poole TownvsYate Town