Ciudad de Lucena vs Sevilla Atletico: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, Lucena
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Sevilla Atletico?
Ciudad de Lucena starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Lucena have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Sevilla Atletico have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cádiz II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ciudad de Lucena score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Lucena | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Sevilla Atletico | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Lucena vs Sevilla Atletico?
- The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Sevilla Atletico.
- Where and when is Ciudad de Lucena vs Sevilla Atletico played?
- Ciudad de Lucena vs Sevilla Atletico is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.