Cleethorpes Town vs Leek Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The myenergi Stadium, Grimsby, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Leek Town?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Cleethorpes Town (1,830) and Leek Town (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cleethorpes Town have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cleethorpes Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Leek Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Leek Town 2-1 Cleethorpes Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Cleethorpes Town 3-0 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Leek Town 3-2 Cleethorpes Town | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Cleethorpes Town 2-1 Leek Town | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
Last archived meeting: Leek Town vs Cleethorpes Town on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cleethorpes Town score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleethorpes Town | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Leek Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cleethorpes Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 5 matches) and Leek Town sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cleethorpes Town vs Leek Town?
- The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Leek Town.
- Where and when is Cleethorpes Town vs Leek Town played?
- Cleethorpes Town vs Leek Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The myenergi Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.