Workington vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Workington wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Workington vs Curzon Ashton?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Workington (1,784) and Curzon Ashton (1,822).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Workington vs Curzon Ashton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Curzon Ashton
4-3-3- 9J. Spencer
- 7I. Buckley-Ricketts
- 17M. Afuye
- 4M. Poscha
- 11W. Hayhurst
- 11I. Sinclair
- 2Oluwatimilehin Sobowale
- 19J. Richards
- 15M. Litherland
- 3Luis Frances John Lacey
- 13J. Ollerenshaw
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stalybridge Celtic(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Curzon Ashton | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (24 points from 15 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 9th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 22 |
A question about Workington vs Curzon Ashton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Workington vs Curzon Ashton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Curzon Ashton.
- Where and when is Workington vs Curzon Ashton played?
- Workington vs Curzon Ashton is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026BuryvsWhitby Town
- Dec 19, 2026Guiseley AFCvsHyde United
- Dec 19, 2026Alfreton TownvsLancaster City
- Dec 19, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsLeek Town
- Dec 19, 2026Ashton UnitedvsUnited of Manchester
- Dec 19, 2026Bamber BridgevsIlkeston Town
- Dec 19, 2026Warrington TownvsStockton Town
- Dec 19, 2026AvrovsRylands