Ashton United vs United of Manchester: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Ashton United the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for United of Manchester. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs United of Manchester?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Ashton United (1,783) and United of Manchester (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; United of Manchester have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ashton United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 United of Manchester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | United of Manchester 0-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Ashton United 3-1 United of Manchester | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Ashton United 2-0 United of Manchester | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 26, 2024 | United of Manchester 1-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 1, 2024 | United of Manchester 0-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Ashton United 1-2 United of Manchester | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: United of Manchester vs Ashton United on Jan 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; United of Manchester score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| United of Manchester | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 6 matches) and United of Manchester sit 22nd (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ashton United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs United of Manchester?
- The Footlab model makes Ashton United the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for United of Manchester.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs United of Manchester played?
- Ashton United vs United of Manchester is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.