Bury vs Whitby Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury vs Whitby Town?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,692).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bury vs Whitby Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Whitby Town
Not enough data to predict the Whitby Town lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Whitby Town have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Whitby Town score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Whitby Town | 1.3 | 2.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 11 matches) and Whitby Town sit 13th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
A question about Bury vs Whitby Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury vs Whitby Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Bury vs Whitby Town played?
- Bury vs Whitby Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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