Bamber Bridge vs Ilkeston Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sir Tom Finney Stadium, Preston, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bamber Bridge vs Ilkeston Town?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Bamber Bridge (1,659) and Ilkeston Town (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bamber Bridge have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Ilkeston Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Avro(home) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bamber Bridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Ilkeston Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ilkeston Town 2-0 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Bamber Bridge 2-0 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Bamber Bridge 1-2 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Ilkeston Town 2-1 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Bamber Bridge 1-4 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Ilkeston Town 1-0 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ilkeston Town vs Bamber Bridge on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ilkeston Town score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bamber Bridge | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ilkeston Town | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bamber Bridge sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Ilkeston Town sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ilkeston Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bamber Bridge vs Ilkeston Town?
- The Footlab model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bamber Bridge.
- Where and when is Bamber Bridge vs Ilkeston Town played?
- Bamber Bridge vs Ilkeston Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Tom Finney Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.