Club America vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats
Leagues CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 02:45 AM (UTC)Estadio Azteca, D.F.
The Footlab model makes Club America the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club America vs Columbus Crew?
Club America starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,017 vs 1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club America have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Columbus Crew have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 2-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Montreal(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Club America win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Columbus Crew win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2024 | Columbus Crew 1-1 Club America | Campeones Cup |
| Aug 1, 2023 | Club America 1-4 Columbus Crew | Leagues Cup |
Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs Club America on Sep 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Club America score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club America | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Columbus Crew | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club America vs Columbus Crew?
- The Footlab model makes Club America the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Columbus Crew.
- Where and when is Club America vs Columbus Crew played?
- Club America vs Columbus Crew is played on August 27, 2026 at 02:45 AM (UTC) at Estadio Azteca, in the Leagues Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.