Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio
The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for New England Revolution. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Columbus Crew (1,824) and New England Revolution (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Columbus Crew have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; New England Revolution have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 2-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Montreal(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | New York City FC(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | DC United(away) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Columbus Crew win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 New England Revolution win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | New England Revolution 2-1 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Columbus Crew 1-2 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 2, 2025 | New England Revolution 0-1 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Columbus Crew 4-0 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 29, 2024 | New England Revolution 1-5 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 4, 2023 | New England Revolution 1-2 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| New England Revolution | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Columbus Crew sit 15th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 21 matches) and New England Revolution sit 4th (34 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New England Revolution | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 34 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?
- The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for New England Revolution.
- Where and when is Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution played?
- Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Lower.com Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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