Match

Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio

Columbus CrewNew England Revolution

The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for New England Revolution. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Columbus Crew (1,824) and New England Revolution (1,751).

Columbus Crew win52 %
Draw24 %
New England Revolution win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Columbus Crew have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; New England Revolution have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nashville SC(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026CF Montreal(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Charlotte(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026CF Pachuca(home)2-1Leagues Cup
New England Revolution
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026New York City FC(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026DC United(away)3-0Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Toronto FC(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 8, 2026Houston Dynamo(home)0-2Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Columbus Crew win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 New England Revolution win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026New England Revolution 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Aug 23, 2025Columbus Crew 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025New England Revolution 0-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Oct 12, 2024Columbus Crew 4-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Jun 29, 2024New England Revolution 1-5 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Oct 4, 2023New England Revolution 1-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Columbus Crew1.51.6212/1510/15
New England Revolution1.51.339/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Columbus Crew sit 15th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 21 matches) and New England Revolution sit 4th (34 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4New England Revolution211047332634
15Columbus Crew215511303620

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?
The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for New England Revolution.
Where and when is Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution played?
Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Lower.com Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Columbus Crew and New England Revolution

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