Young Africans vs Mbeya City: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
The Footlab AI model makes Young Africans the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 2% for Mbeya City. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,797 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Africans vs Mbeya City?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 2,021 Elo points against 1,537, a 484-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Young Africans vs Mbeya City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Young Africans
4-3-3- 7M. Nzengeli
- 13P. Shalulile
- 9C. Touré
- 38Duke Ooga Abuya
- 21K. Attohoula
- 22A. Kangwanda
- 4I. Bacca
- 23C. Boka
- 3B. Mwamnyeto
- 15M. Hussein
- 39D. Diarra
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 10E. Ambokile
- 49O. Mwajanga
- 22V. Mayanga
- 21J. Mwanuke
- 20H. Haji
- 32O. Abdallah
- 26A. Buha
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 5Y. Seleman Mbegu
- 4K. Pillar
- 31T. Reuben
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Africans have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Mbeya City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | CFFA(away) | 4-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gaborone United(home) | 2-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gaborone United(away) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Young Africans wins, 4 draws, 0 Mbeya City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Young Africans 6-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Mbeya City 0-0 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 6, 2023 | Mbeya City 3-3 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Young Africans 2-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Mbeya City 1-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Young Africans 0-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Young Africans vs Mbeya City on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Young Africans score 2.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Africans sit 2nd in Ligi kuu Bara (18 points from 7 matches) and Mbeya City sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Young Africans vs Mbeya City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Africans vs Mbeya City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Young Africans the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 2% for Mbeya City.
- Where and when is Young Africans vs Mbeya City played?
- Young Africans vs Mbeya City is played on March 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.