Young Africans vs Mbeya City: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for Mbeya City. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Africans vs Mbeya City?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 1,973 Elo points against 1,506 — a 467-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Africans have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Mbeya City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Young Africans win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Mbeya City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Young Africans 6-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Mbeya City 0-0 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 6, 2023 | Mbeya City 3-3 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Young Africans 2-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Mbeya City 1-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Young Africans 0-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Young Africans vs Mbeya City on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mbeya City score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Mbeya City | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Africans sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 3 matches) and Mbeya City sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Mbeya City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Africans vs Mbeya City?
- The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for Mbeya City.
- Where and when is Young Africans vs Mbeya City played?
- Young Africans vs Mbeya City is played on March 12, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.