Namungo vs Mashujaa: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Majaliwa Stadium, Ruangwa
The Footlab model makes Namungo the favourite at 45%, against 33% for a draw and 22% for Mashujaa. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Namungo vs Mashujaa?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Namungo (1,538) and Mashujaa (1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Namungo have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Mashujaa have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mtibwa Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | KMC(away) | 3-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | KMC(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Namungo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Mashujaa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Namungo 0-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Mashujaa 1-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Namungo 2-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Mashujaa 1-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Mashujaa 1-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Namungo 0-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Namungo score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mashujaa score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namungo | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Mashujaa | 0.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Namungo sit 8th in Ligi kuu Bara (3 points from 2 matches) and Mashujaa sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Namungo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Mashujaa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Namungo vs Mashujaa?
- The Footlab model makes Namungo the favourite at 45%, against 33% for a draw and 22% for Mashujaa.
- Where and when is Namungo vs Mashujaa played?
- Namungo vs Mashujaa is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Majaliwa Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.