Simba vs Tabora United: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC)KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 87%, against 10% for a draw and 3% for Tabora United. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs Tabora United?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,997 Elo points against 1,601, a 396-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Simba vs Tabora United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Simba
4-3-3- 7L. Gueye
- 34E. Mpanzu
- 29Ibrahim Doumbia
- 35N. Maema
- 17C. Chama
- 18M. Abraham
- 23R. De Reuck
- 26N. Chilambo
- 20A. Oura
- 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
- 28H. Abel
Tabora United
4-3-3- 30J. Akandwanaho
- 26Ayoub Lyanga
- 33Winga Belebo
- 6S. Hoza
- 55Tobias Otieno
- 19M. Yassin
- 5N. Kombo
- 4Shariff Majabe
- 22J. Lazarus
- 32K. Kijili
- 18D. Mgore
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Tabora United have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 6-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 6-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Simba wins, 1 draw, 0 Tabora United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Tabora United 0-0 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Simba 3-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Tabora United 0-3 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Simba 3-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 6, 2024 | Simba 2-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Tabora United 0-4 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Tabora United vs Simba on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tabora United score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Tabora United | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Simba sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (24 points from 8 matches) and Tabora United sit 13th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
| 13 | Tabora United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Simba vs Tabora United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs Tabora United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 87%, against 10% for a draw and 3% for Tabora United.
- Where and when is Simba vs Tabora United played?
- Simba vs Tabora United is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at KMC Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.