Coastal Union vs Polisi Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Polisi Tanzania. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coastal Union vs Polisi Tanzania?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Coastal Union (1,540) and Polisi Tanzania (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Polisi Tanzania have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Azam(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Azam(away) | 0-8 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Coastal Union win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Polisi Tanzania win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 3-3 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Coastal Union 0-0 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 8, 2022 | Coastal Union 1-0 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Polisi Tanzania 0-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 16, 2021 | Coastal Union 0-1 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Polisi Tanzania 1-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Polisi Tanzania vs Coastal Union on Dec 26, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Polisi Tanzania score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Polisi Tanzania | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coastal Union sit 14th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Polisi Tanzania sit 8th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Polisi Tanzania | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Coastal Union | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs Polisi Tanzania?
- The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Polisi Tanzania.
- Where and when is Coastal Union vs Polisi Tanzania played?
- Coastal Union vs Polisi Tanzania is played on May 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.