Mbeya City vs Tabora United: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
The Footlab AI model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Tabora United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mbeya City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbeya City vs Tabora United?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Mbeya City (1,557) and Tabora United (1,635).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mbeya City vs Tabora United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 7R. Msuya
- 6M. Malima
- 22V. Mayanga
- 32O. Abdallah
- 11I. Aziz
- 13S. Sweetbert
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 4K. Pillar
- 60B. Maranyingi
- 28K. Pemba
- 30P. Munthari
Tabora United
4-3-3- 26Ayoub Lyanga
- 30J. Akandwanaho
- 45E. Mwanengo
- 6S. Hoza
- 55Tobias Otieno
- 17G. Gwalala
- 5N. Kombo
- 4Shariff Majabe
- 22J. Lazarus
- 32K. Kijili
- 18D. Mgore
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbeya City have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tabora United have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 18, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 3-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mbeya City win, 2 draws, 0 Tabora United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tabora United 0-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mbeya City 0-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Tabora United 0-2 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Tabora United vs Mbeya City on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tabora United score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Tabora United | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbeya City sit 11th in Ligi kuu Bara (13 points from 10 matches) and Tabora United sit 12th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mbeya City | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Tabora United | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Mbeya City vs Tabora United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbeya City vs Tabora United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Tabora United.
- Where and when is Mbeya City vs Tabora United played?
- Mbeya City vs Tabora United is played on May 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sokoine Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.