Dodoma Jiji vs Geita Gold: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jamhuri Stadium, Dodoma
The Footlab model makes Dodoma Jiji the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Geita Gold. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dodoma Jiji vs Geita Gold?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Dodoma Jiji (1,502) and Geita Gold (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dodoma Jiji have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Geita Gold have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 6-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dodoma Jiji win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Geita Gold win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Dodoma Jiji 0-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Geita Gold 2-2 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Geita Gold 2-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 29, 2022 | Dodoma Jiji 1-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 13, 2022 | Geita Gold 2-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Dodoma Jiji 1-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Dodoma Jiji vs Geita Gold on Mar 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Dodoma Jiji score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodoma Jiji | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dodoma Jiji sit 13th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Geita Gold sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Dodoma Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dodoma Jiji vs Geita Gold?
- The Footlab model makes Dodoma Jiji the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Geita Gold.
- Where and when is Dodoma Jiji vs Geita Gold played?
- Dodoma Jiji vs Geita Gold is played on May 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jamhuri Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.