Palestino vs Union La Calera: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab AI model makes Palestino the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Union La Calera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palestino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palestino vs Union La Calera?
On Elo ratings, Palestino has 1,760 points and Union La Calera 1,735.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palestino vs Union La Calera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palestino
4-2-3-1- 9R. Fernández
- 18S. Gallegos
- 5D. Glaby
- 27C. Munder
- 17M. Eggel
- 20G. Tapia
- 3E. Roco
- 2V. Espinoza
- 23J. León
- 7B. Carrasco
- 25S. Pérez
Union La Calera
4-2-3-1- 11S. Sáez
- 23R. Pérez
- 5C. Moya
- 7B. Oyarzo
- 32B. Ferreyra
- 17M. Hiriart
- 15J. Salomoni
- 25C. Díaz
- 4C. Gutiérrez
- 27D. Gutiérrez
- 1N. Avellaneda
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 02:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palestino have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Union La Calera have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportes Limache(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 0-2 | Copa Chile |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | U. Catolica(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Palestino wins, 1 draw, 1 Union La Calera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Union La Calera 1-2 Palestino | Primera División |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Union La Calera 1-2 Palestino | Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Palestino 1-0 Union La Calera | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Union La Calera 2-1 Palestino | Primera División |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Palestino 0-0 Union La Calera | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2023 | Union La Calera 2-3 Palestino | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Union La Calera vs Palestino on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palestino score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union La Calera score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palestino | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Union La Calera | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palestino sit 7th in Primera División (38 points from 27 matches) and Union La Calera sit 16th (24 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Palestino | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 38 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 43 | 24 |
A question about Palestino vs Union La Calera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palestino vs Union La Calera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palestino the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Union La Calera.
- Where and when is Palestino vs Union La Calera played?
- Palestino vs Union La Calera is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.