Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Cobre, El Salvador, Diego de Almagro
The Footlab model makes Cobresal the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Universidad de Concepcion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Cobresal (1,621) and Universidad de Concepcion (1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobresal have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Universidad de Concepcion have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Concepción(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 1-3 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 1, 2026 | A. Italiano(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cobresal win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Universidad de Concepcion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Cobresal 2-1 Universidad de Concepcion | Copa De La Liga |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 Cobresal | Primera División |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion 2-1 Cobresal | Copa De La Liga |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Cobresal 3-1 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| Mar 5, 2020 | Universidad de Concepcion 2-2 Cobresal | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2019 | Cobresal 1-0 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cobresal score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad de Concepcion score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cobresal sit 15th in Primera División (13 points from 15 matches) and Universidad de Concepcion sit 11th (19 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 19 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 13 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 39 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?
- The Footlab model makes Cobresal the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Universidad de Concepcion.
- Where and when is Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion played?
- Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Cobre, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.