Universidad de Chile vs Nublense: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Nublense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Universidad de Chile (1,877) and Nublense (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad de Chile have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Nublense have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportes Limache(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2026 | A. Italiano(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Universidad de Chile win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nublense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nublense 1-0 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Nublense 2-2 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Universidad de Chile 5-0 Nublense | Primera División |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Universidad de Chile 1-0 Nublense | Copa Chile |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Nublense 1-4 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| May 26, 2024 | Universidad de Chile 0-0 Nublense | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Nublense vs Universidad de Chile on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad de Chile score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nublense score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Nublense | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad de Chile sit 3rd in Primera División (24 points from 15 matches) and Nublense sit 8th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
- The Footlab model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Nublense.
- Where and when is Universidad de Chile vs Nublense played?
- Universidad de Chile vs Nublense is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.