Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo
The Footlab model makes Coquimbo Unido the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Colo Colo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Coquimbo Unido (1,880) and Colo Colo (1,894).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coquimbo Unido have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Colo Colo have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Platense(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Coquimbo Unido win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Colo Colo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Colo Colo | Copa De La Liga |
| May 3, 2026 | Colo Colo 3-1 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Colo Colo 1-1 Coquimbo Unido | Copa De La Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Colo Colo 2-0 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Colo Colo 2-0 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coquimbo Unido score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Colo Colo score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coquimbo Unido | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Colo Colo | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coquimbo Unido sit 4th in Primera División (24 points from 15 matches) and Colo Colo sit 1st (36 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 36 |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo?
- The Footlab model makes Coquimbo Unido the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Colo Colo.
- Where and when is Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo played?
- Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.