Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar
The Footlab model makes Everton de Vina the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for D. La Serena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Everton de Vina (1,728) and D. La Serena (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton de Vina have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; D. La Serena have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | A. Italiano(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 4, 2026 | San Luis(away) | 2-2 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Everton de Vina win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 D. La Serena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | D. La Serena 1-0 Everton de Vina | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Everton de Vina 3-1 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2025 | D. La Serena 2-1 Everton de Vina | Primera División |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Everton de Vina 4-0 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2022 | D. La Serena 1-3 Everton de Vina | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2021 | D. La Serena 0-2 Everton de Vina | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Everton de Vina score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; D. La Serena score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton de Vina | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| D. La Serena | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Everton de Vina sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and D. La Serena sit 12th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 10 | D. La Serena | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 34 | 24 |
| 12 | D. La Serena | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?
- The Footlab model makes Everton de Vina the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for D. La Serena.
- Where and when is Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena played?
- Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sausalito, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.