Colchester vs Chesterfield: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Chesterfield. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colchester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Chesterfield?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Colchester (1,674) and Chesterfield (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchester vs Chesterfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 6P. Digby
- 10J. Payne
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 2R. Hunt
- 30K. Vincent-Young
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 24D. Markanday
- 37J. Koroma
- 18L. Marsh
- 4T. Naylor
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 15A. Pond
- 46T. Pearce
- 1Z. Hemming
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Chesterfield have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 5-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colchester wins, 3 draws, 1 Chesterfield win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesterfield 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Chesterfield 3-0 Colchester | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Colchester 6-2 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Colchester 1-0 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Chesterfield 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Dec 30, 2017 | Chesterfield 0-0 Colchester | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Colchester on Oct 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Chesterfield | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchester sit 23rd in League Two (12 points from 13 matches) and Chesterfield sit 10th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Colchester vs Chesterfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Chesterfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Chesterfield.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Chesterfield played?
- Colchester vs Chesterfield is played on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.