Accrington ST vs York: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If York wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs York?
York starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs York
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 39J. Woods
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
York
3-4-2-1- 10O. Pearce
- 28O. Banks
- 8A. Hunt
- 7J. Grey
- 12H. Boyes
- 23J. Felix
- 30A. Newby
- 2R. Fallowfield
- 3M. Kitching
- 5Z. Johnson
- 1Alfie Shane McNally
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; York have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Accrington ST wins, 1 draw, 1 York win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2023 | Accrington ST 2-0 York | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Accrington ST 3-0 York | League Two |
| Nov 28, 2015 | York 1-5 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Accrington ST 3-2 York | FA Cup |
| Mar 21, 2015 | Accrington ST 2-2 York | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2014 | York 1-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs York on Jul 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; York score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| York | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 10th in League Two (14 points from 11 matches) and York sit 4th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | Accrington ST | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Accrington ST vs York?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs York?
- The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs York played?
- Accrington ST vs York is played on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.