Port Vale vs Gillingham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Port Vale vs Gillingham?
On Elo ratings, Port Vale has 1,813 points and Gillingham 1,751.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Gillingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Port Vale
3-5-2- 11O. Hernández
- 36M. Watters
- 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
- 10K. Dempsey
- 3J. Headley
- 8B. Garrity
- 33G. Hall
- 5C. Hall
- 25C. Humphreys
- 4J. Moon
- 20M. Maroši
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 14R. McKenzie
- 8A. Little
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 19O. Beckles
- 40R. Luthra
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gillingham have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | York(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Port Vale wins, 2 draws, 2 Gillingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Port Vale 0-1 Gillingham | League Two |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Gillingham 1-0 Port Vale | League Two |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Gillingham 1-1 Port Vale | League One |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Port Vale 2-1 Gillingham | League One |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Gillingham 0-2 Port Vale | League One |
| Aug 15, 2015 | Port Vale 1-1 Gillingham | League One |
Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Gillingham on May 3, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Port Vale score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gillingham score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Gillingham | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Port Vale sit 22nd in League Two (8 points from 8 matches) and Gillingham sit 4th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Port Vale vs Gillingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Gillingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Gillingham.
- Where and when is Port Vale vs Gillingham played?
- Port Vale vs Gillingham is played on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.