Colchester vs Northampton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colchester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Northampton?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Colchester (1,778) and Northampton (1,720).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchester vs Northampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 6P. Digby
- 15B. Lubala
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 2R. Hunt
- 24F. Terry
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Northampton have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luton(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colchester wins, 0 draws, 4 Northampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Colchester 0-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Northampton 3-2 Colchester | League Two |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Northampton 3-0 Colchester | League Two |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Colchester 0-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Colchester 1-0 Northampton | League Two |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Northampton 0-4 Colchester | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Colchester vs Northampton on Feb 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Northampton | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchester sit 20th in League Two (11 points from 10 matches) and Northampton sit 22nd (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 22 | Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Colchester vs Northampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Northampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Northampton played?
- Colchester vs Northampton is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.