Colchester vs Worcester City: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Worcester City the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Colchester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Worcester City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Worcester City?
Worcester City starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,794 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchester vs Worcester City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 6P. Digby
- 10J. Payne
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 24F. Terry
- 2R. Hunt
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Worcester City
Not enough data to predict the Worcester City lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Worcester City have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Colchester vs Worcester City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Worcester City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Worcester City the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Colchester.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Worcester City played?
- Colchester vs Worcester City is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.