Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, Ciudad de Santa Fe, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Defensores De Belgrano. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Colon Santa Fe (1,781) and Defensores De Belgrano (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colon Santa Fe have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Defensores De Belgrano have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Telmo(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Acassuso(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Colon Santa Fe win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Defensores De Belgrano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano 0-3 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Colon Santa Fe 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Colon Santa Fe 2-0 Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional |
| May 14, 2024 | Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon Santa Fe on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colon Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores De Belgrano score 0.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colon Santa Fe | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Defensores De Belgrano | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colon Santa Fe sit 3rd in Primera Nacional (45 points from 26 matches) and Defensores De Belgrano sit 15th (26 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 15 | Defensores De Belgrano | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano?
- The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Defensores De Belgrano.
- Where and when is Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano played?
- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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