Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trival Valderas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Trival Valderas (1,840) and Unión Adarve (1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trival Valderas
Not enough data to predict the Trival Valderas lineup.
Unión Adarve
Not enough data to predict the Unión Adarve lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Unión Adarve have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Trival Valderas wins, 0 draws, 1 Unión Adarve win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Trival Valderas 1-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Unión Adarve 0-2 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Unión Adarve 2-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trival Valderas score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trival Valderas | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Unión Adarve | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trival Valderas sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (12 points from 7 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Unión Adarve | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Trival Valderas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
A question about Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Unión Adarve.
- Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve played?
- Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027Leganés IIvsPozuelo Alarcón
- May 9, 2027MóstolesvsAlcobendas Sport
- May 9, 2027Rayo Vallecano IIvsLas Rozas
- May 9, 2027GalapagarvsParla Escuela
- May 9, 2027Colonia MoscardóvsFuenlabrada
- May 9, 2027Cala PozuelovsReal Aranjuez
- May 9, 2027SS Reyes IIvsTorrejón
- May 9, 2027RC AlcobendasvsVillanueva Pardillo