Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve played?

Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival Valderas

Unión Adarve

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Trival Valderas (1,833) and Unión Adarve (1,799).

Trival Valderas win45 %

Draw27 %

Unión Adarve win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Unión Adarve
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Racing Madrid(home)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Galapagar(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Trival Valderas win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unión Adarve win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 15, 2026	Trival Valderas 1-0 Unión Adarve	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 2, 2025	Unión Adarve 0-2 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 17, 2019	Unión Adarve 2-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15
Unión Adarve	1.8	1.1	6	6/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trival Valderas sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60
6	Unión Adarve	34	15	8	11	48	42	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Unión Adarve.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve played?: Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.